Obama Leads Romney 223 to 164 in the Electoral College

Obama is currently projected to win 18 states (223 EVs) to Romney's 21 states (164 EVs). Eleven states are projected to be toss-ups. If the election were held today, Obama would be heavily favored to win reelection. Assuming that Obama has a 50 percent probability of winning each toss-up, a statistical simulation indicates that Obama has an 86 percent probability of victory.