Bernie May Gain on Hillary But Remains Unlikely to Catch Her in Pledged Delegates

	Predicted Net Delagate Award to Sanders by State
	State	% Black	% Obama	% Obama - % Black	% Black / % Obama	% Bernie	Predicted	Actual - predicted	Pledged Delegates	Predicted Sanders Delegate Net
	Montana	0	42	42	0.01		63		27	7
	Vermont	1	67	66	0.01	86	63	23
	Idaho	1	33	32	0.02		63		27	7
	New Hampshire	1	52	51	0.02	60	63	-3
	Maine	1	56	55	0.02	63	63	0
	Hawaii	2	71	69	0.02		62		34	8
	Wyoming	1	28	27	0.03		62		18	4
	North Dakota	1	38	37	0.03		62		23	5
	South Dakota	1	40	39	0.03		62		25	6
	Oregon	2	54	52	0.03		62		74	17
	New Mexico	2	53	51	0.04		61		43	10
	Utah	1	25	24	0.04		61		37	8
	Iowa	3	52	49	0.06	50	60	-10
	Washington	4	56	52	0.06		60		118	23
	Colorado	4	51	47	0.08	59	59	0
	Alaska	3	41	38	0.08		59		20	4
	Rhode Island	6	63	57	0.09		58		33	5
	Arizona	4	45	41	0.09		58		85	14
	West Virginia	3	36	33	0.09		58		37	6
	Minnesota	5	53	48	0.10	62	58	4
	California	6	60	54	0.10		57		546	81
	Massachusetts	7	61	54	0.11	49	57	-8
	Nebraska	5	38	34	0.12	57	57	0
	Wisconsin	6	53	47	0.12		56		96	12
	Kansas	6	38	32	0.16	68	54	14
	Nevada	8	52	44	0.16	47	54	-7
	Connecticut	10	58	48	0.17		53		70	4
	Kentucky	8	38	30	0.21		51		61	1
	Indiana	9	44	35	0.21		51		92	2
	Pennsylvania	11	52	41	0.21		51		210	4
	Oklahoma	7	33	26	0.22	52	50	2
	New Jersey	14	58	44	0.24		49		142	-2
	Ohio	12	51	39	0.24		49		159	-3
	Illinois	15	58	44	0.25		48		182	-6
	New York	16	63	47	0.25		48		291	-10
	Michigan	14	54	40	0.26	50	48	2
	Missouri	12	44	32	0.26		48		84	-4
	Texas	12	41	29	0.29	33	46	-13
	Florida	16	50	34	0.32		44		246	-29
	Delaware	21	59	38	0.36		41		31	-5
	Virginia	19	51	32	0.38	35	40	-5
	Arkansas	15	37	22	0.42	30	38	-8
	Tennessee	17	39	22	0.43	32	37	-5
	North Carolina	22	48	27	0.45		36		121	-34
	Maryland	29	62	33	0.47		35		118	-37
	DC	51	91	40	0.56		29		45	-19
	South Carolina	28	44	16	0.63	26	25	1
	Georgia	31	45	15	0.68	28	22	6
	Alabama	26	38	12	0.69	19	21	-2
	Louisiana	32	44	12	0.73	23	19	4
	Mississippi	37	44	7	0.84	16	12	4
	American Samoa	0
	Guam	0					33		12	-4
	Northern Mariana Islands	0					33		11	-4
	Puerto Rico	12					33		67	-23
	VI	66					33		12	-4
									Pred. net	48
									Net so far	-214
									PROJ. DEL. COUNT	-166
									Lower Bound (-5%)	-326
									Upper Bound (+5%)	-6