Obama's Lead Shrinks: President Favored 223 to 180 in Electoral College

Obama is currently projected to win 18 states (223 EVs) to Romney's 22 states (180 EVs). Ten states are projected to be toss-ups. If the election were held today, Obama would be somewhat favored to win reelection. Assuming that Obama has a 50 percent probability of winning each toss-up, a statistical simulation indicates that Obama has an 80 percent probability of victory.