Obama is currently projected to win 19 states (233 EVs) to Romney's 23 states (191 EVs). Eight states are projected to be toss-ups. If the election were held today, Obama would be heavily favored to win reelection. Assuming Obama has the listed probabilities of winning each toss-up, a statistical simulation indicates that Obama has an 94.0 percent probability of victory.
State: Prob. of Obama Win
Colorado: 70%
Florida: 68%
Iowa: 52%
New Hampshire: 78%
North Carolina: 41%
Pennsylvania: 77%
Ohio: 51%
Virginia: 73%
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